Where the Tigers rank in Week 4’s ESPN FPI

A formula that once favored Auburn is now showing the Tigers spiraling in a downward trend.

The latest ESPN Football Power Index ranking has dropped Auburn from No. 40 to No. 51 after their 41-12 loss to Penn State at Jordan-Hare Stadium last Saturday.

According to ESPN, the FPI is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.

Auburn improved their passing performance from week two’s win over San Jose State to week three. Quarterbacks TJ Finley and Robby Ashford combined to complete 21-of-38 passes for 296 yards. However, each quarterback threw an interception while Ashford was the only quarterback to throw a touchdown pass.

The efficiency of passing touchdowns provides one explanation as to why Auburn dropped in this week’s ratings, as the Tigers have just two passing touchdowns in three games. Defensively, the Tigers had another game without forcing a turnover and only made three stops behind the line of scrimmage.

Here is a look at where Auburn Ranks in major categories that the FPI bases their rankings on ahead of week four’s game with Missouri.

Overall ranking: No. 51

Todd Van Emst/AU Athletics

SEC Ranking: No. 11

Michael Chang/Getty Images

Strength of Schedule: No. 49

Jake Crandall/USA TODAY NETWORK

Strength of remaining schedule: No. 1

Zach Bland/ AU Athletics

Offensive efficiency: No. 77

AP Photo/Butch Dill

Defensive efficiency: No. 102

Jake Crandall/ The Montgomery Advertiser
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